Econ Seminar - The Fiscal Multiplier
3:00pm - 4:30pm
LSK6045

We measure the size of the fiscal multiplier using a heterogeneous-agent model with incomplete markets, capital and rigid prices and wages. The environment encompasses the essential elements necessary for a quantitative analysis of fiscal policy. First, output is partially demand-determined due to pricing frictions in product and labor markets, so that a fiscal stimulus increases aggregate demand. Second, incomplete markets de-liver a realistic distribution of dynamic consumption and investment responses to stim-ulus policies across the population. These elements give rise to the standard textbook Keynesian-cross logic which, and unlike conventional wisdom would suggest, is signifi-cantly reinforced in our dynamic forward looking model.


We find that market incompleteness is key to determining the size of the fiscal multiplier, which is uniquely determined in our model for any combination of fiscal and monetary policies of interest. The multiplier is 1.34 if deficit-financed and 0.61 if con-temporaneously tax-financed for a pegged nominal interest rate, with similar values in a liquidity trap. If monetary policy follows a Taylor rule, the numbers drop to 0.66 and 0.54, respectively. We elucidate the importance of market incompleteness for our results and contrast them to models featuring complete markets or hand-to-mouth consumers.

Venue Opening Hour
2:45pm
Event Format
Speakers / Performers:
Prof. Kurt Mitman
Stockholm University

https://www.su.se/english/profiles/kmitm-1.196208

Language
English
Recommended For
Alumni
Faculty and staff
PG students
Organizer
Department of Economics
Contact

Julie tel: 2358 7621 / email: fnjuwong@ust.hk

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